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# Westminster Voting Intention
- URL: https://www.europeans.today/2025/05/07/westminster-voting-intention-projections/
- Published: 2025-05-07T00:25:00.000Z
- Updated: 2025-05-07T15:38:39.000Z
- Description: Our latest charts displaying the voting intention percentages for the next general election in the UK.
- Author: Europeans TODAY
- Tags: Opinion Polls, United Kingdom, UK Politics, Labour Party, Reform UK, Conservative Party, Liberal Democrats, Green Party, SNP (Scottish National Party), Plaid Cymru

##### The following charts display the voting intention percentages for the next general election in the UK (expected to take place in 2029). The charts are updated regularly.
  
  
[![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/15/40/1540bec0-7154-4feb-b8e1-97f579155b08/content/images/2025/05/Westminster-Voting-Intention--2-.png)](https://www.europeans.today/westminster-voting-intention/)

  
[![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/15/40/1540bec0-7154-4feb-b8e1-97f579155b08/content/images/2025/05/Westminster-Voting-Intentions.png)](https://www.europeans.today/westminster-voting-intention/)

  
[![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/15/40/1540bec0-7154-4feb-b8e1-97f579155b08/content/images/2025/05/2029-UK-General-Election-Projection----YouGov-Poll.png)](https://www.europeans.today/westminster-voting-intention/)
  
  
# **Analysis**

### **Reform UK Surges to the Front**

- Biggest gainer this week: Reform UK is up by 3 points, rising to **29%**, leading all parties.

### **Conservatives Decline Further**

- Biggest loss, dropping from **20%** to **17%**.
- This reflects growing voter desertion, likely shifting to Reform UK.

### **Labour Softens Slightly**

- Down 1 point to **22%**, Labour continues to struggle in reclaiming a solid lead despite government fatigue.

### **Greens & Lib Dems Gain Modestly**

- Both Greens and Lib Dems gained 1 point.
- While still smaller players, these changes show some gradual realignment among progressive voters.

## 🏛️ **Seat Projection (2029 Outlook)**

- **Hung Parliament likely**: No single party would appear to cross the majority threshold alone.
- **Coalition of the Right?** Reform UK’s surge would possibly force coalition considerations with the Tories.
- **Coalition of the Left?** Labour and Lib Dems together might come closer to a working majority, but would still need support from SNP and/or Greens.
- **Tories are losing it:** The Conservatives would fall to third place in vote share and seat count — their worst national position in modern times.

![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/15/40/1540bec0-7154-4feb-b8e1-97f579155b08/content/images/2021/09/end-flat-1.png) 

  
###