> ## Content Index > Fetch the complete content index at: https://www.europeans.today/llms.txt > Use this file to discover other available public pages before exploring further. # ‘If a rogue America wins’. An updated scenario to the one about Russia? - URL: https://www.europeans.today/2026/01/09/if-a-rogue-america-wins-an-updated-scenario-to-the-one-about-russia/ - Published: 2026-01-09T01:01:00.000Z - Updated: 2026-01-09T13:52:58.000Z - Description: Several months after a chilling scenario about possible Russian aggression in Europe became a bestseller, is it time to update the cast and script? - Author: Rashmee Roshan Lall - Tags: COMMENT, Greenland, Trump 2.0, Venezuela, US Abduction of Nicolás Maduro, United States, Rogue Superpower, Trump's Greenland Threat, Russia, US Foreign Policy, US Imperialism, Books, Geopolitics, North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), Donald Trump, European Union, Europe T he book, by German international relations professor Carlo Masala, is titled [*If Russia Wins: A Scenario*](https://amzn.to/3YOWX1H?ref=europeans.today). Set in 2028, it imagines an audacious Russian military operation in Estonia. Now that Donald Trump has reaffirmed his desire to seize [Greenland](https://www.europeans.today/tag/greenland/), within hours of bombarding Venezuela and kidnapping its president, an updated alternative book title could be *If a Rogue America Wins: A Scenario*. It’s entirely plausible because on January 4, President Trump casually suggested the US could unilaterally enter, subvert or territorially seize other countries or parts thereof, after its attack on Venezuela. He threatened Colombia, and its president, Gustavo Petro, said Cuba is “ready to fall” and reasserted his desire to take control of Greenland. So what would anyone do? What *could* anyone do? What would Europe do if the US set out to capture Greenland, possibly by dispatching a couple of thousand extra troops to the existing US Pituffik Space Base on the northwest coast of the Danish autonomous territory? Would the European Union (EU), of which Denmark is a part, respond strongly? Would NATO, of which Denmark is a part, respond? What would the South American region do if the US launched an attack on Colombia or actively worked to disrupt Cuba? Colombia is a member of the Pacific Alliance, a small trade bloc, and also belongs to the Mercosur regional trade bloc, but both can do little more than issue statements of condemnation. Cuba is a founding member of the anti-imperialist ALBA-TCP (*Bolivarian Alliance for the Peoples of Our America*), a member of the broader CELAC (*Community of Latin American and Caribbean States*) and has been seeking deeper ties with BRICS. None of these could do much about hostile US military and political manoeuvres. So, a rogue America would win. Unless there were a broad and deep attempt to isolate the United States as one would a mad dog. In this context, the scenario Professor Masala set out in his book *If Russia Wins* is worth recalling. He imagines that the Russians capture Narva in Estonia as a way to test NATO’s resolve. They correctly predict that NATO will not have the stomach to launch a counter-attack and defend territory. Estonia is part of NATO, whose core principle since it was founded in 1949 is Article 5 of its treaty. Article 5 requires collective defence. The Russian attack should technically have prompted the NATO military alliance to respond strongly and firmly. But NATO does not offer any pushback because the book’s fictional US president says he’s unwilling “to risk World War III over some small town in Estonia”. If the same sort of thing happened over Greenland, Colombia and Cuba, a rogue America will win… and rule over us all. We have been warned. ![](https://storage.ghost.io/c/15/40/1540bec0-7154-4feb-b8e1-97f579155b08/content/images/2021/09/end-flat-1.png) ### **GOING FURTHER** - ###### [If Russia Wins: A Scenario](https://amzn.to/49KMEle?ref=europeans.today), by Carlo Masara | GROVE PRESS/ATLANTIC MONTHLY PRESS - ###### [Trump Lays Out a Vision of Power Restrained Only by ‘My Own Morality’](https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/08/us/politics/trump-interview-power-morality.html?ref=europeans.today) | THE NEW YORK TIMES ### --- #### **Sources:** ###### ▪ This piece was first published in [Medium](https://rashmee.medium.com/if-a-rogue-america-wins-an-updated-scenario-to-the-one-about-russia-a46927c41b11?ref=europeans.today) and re-published in Europeans TODAY on 9 January 2026 under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International licence. | The author writes in a personal capacity. ###### ▪ **Cover:** Dreamstime/[KORWEN](https://www.dreamstime.com/korwen%5Finfo?ref=europeans.today). ---