The following charts display the voting intention percentages for the next general election in the UK (expected to take place in 2029). The charts are updated regularly.

Analysis

Reform UK Surges to the Front

• Biggest gainer this week: Reform UK is up by 3 points, rising to 29%, leading all parties.

Conservatives Decline Further

• Biggest loss, dropping from 20% to 17%.
• This reflects growing voter desertion, likely shifting to Reform UK.

Labour Softens Slightly

• Down 1 point to 22%, Labour continues to struggle in reclaiming a solid lead despite government fatigue.

Greens & Lib Dems Gain Modestly

• Both Greens and Lib Dems gained 1 point.
• While still smaller players, these changes show some gradual realignment among progressive voters.

🏛️ Seat Projection (2029 Outlook)

• Hung Parliament likely: No single party would appear to cross the majority threshold alone.
• Coalition of the Right? Reform UK’s surge would possibly force coalition considerations with the Tories.
• Coalition of the Left? Labour and Lib Dems together might come closer to a working majority, but would still need support from SNP and/or Greens.
• Tories are losing it: The Conservatives would fall to third place in vote share and seat count — their worst national position in modern times.