Next Elections in Europe

Our latest chart displaying the voting intention percentages for the upcoming elections in Europe.

Next Elections in Europe

The following chart displays the voting intention percentages for the upcoming elections in various European countries this year, alongside the political groups and ideologies represented by the parties or candidates, ranging from the far left to the far right of the political spectrum. The chart is updated regularly.

The chart categorises political parties or candidates standing in national or local elections across Europe according to their affiliations at the European Parliament or the closest equivalent group. (Click here to find a quick breakdown of what each colour-coded group represents.)





Analysis

🇫🇷 FRANCE | Parliament | Jul-2025 (potential)

Far-right dominance continues, with Rassemblement National (RN) at 34%. The left-wing bloc (LFI, Green, Socialists) polls at 29%, showing marginal improvement. President Macron’s centrist Ensemble holds 16%, slightly up from last week. The traditional centre-right (Les Républicains) remains at 10%, struggling to regain traction.

The fragmented left and moderate right are failing to mount an effective challenge to RN’s nationalist momentum. Expect turbulent coalition talks if the current trend persists.

🇳🇴 NORWAY | Parliament | 8-Sep-2025

Right-leaning parties maintain the edge: Progress Party (FrP) and Conservatives (H) combine for 50.5% (FrP: 11.4%, H: 39.1%). The Labour Party (Ap) trails at 31.6%, with the Greens and Left further marginalised (6.1% and 6.6%).

The data confirms the narrowing path for centre-left dominance in Norway, with a potential right-wing coalition within striking distance.

🇨🇿 CZECHIA | Parliament | 3-Oct-2025

Czechia’s far-right bloc surges again, now at 48%, with centre-right steady at 21.8%. The left-wing factions edge up slightly, reaching 21% combined. However, mainstream centrist and green forces remain marginalised (7.5%).

This entrenches the Czech nationalist trend, bolstering Euroscepticism and tightening the space for pro-European coalitions.

🇮🇪 IRELAND | President | Oct-2025

Ireland presents a centrist and centre-right dominance scenario: The centre-right leads with 34.8%, followed by the centre parties at 28.5%. Left-aligned candidates combine for 31%, down slightly from last week.

Though progressive parties remain competitive, the race favours a mainstream, EU-aligned trajectory.

🇵🇹 PORTUGAL | President | 25-Jan-2026

Portugal remains stable: The centre-right at 27.7%, the left at 26.5%, and the centre at 16.5%. Far-left and Greens maintain minor support. Independents poll at 7.5%.

This equilibrium reflects Portugal’s relative insulation from the far-right surge sweeping much of Europe.

🇫🇷 FRANCE | President | 13-May-2027 (on or before)

Jordan Bardella (RN) retains a strong lead at 35.5%. The left bloc is steady at 27%, while Ensemble's candidate, Edouard Philippe, sees a minor improvement (24%). Les Républicains continue to stagnate at 9%.

The numbers show a stabilised but fragmented field where RN’s consolidation remains unchallenged unless the left and centre coalesce effectively.

🔍 Cross-European Snapshot

  • Far-Right Consistency: RN leads both French elections, while Czechia and Norway’s nationalist blocs hold or expand influence.
  • Centrist Fragility: RENEW performs inconsistently, gaining ground in Portugal and the UK, but is stagnant elsewhere.
  • Left Resilience: The Left gains slightly in France, but fragmentation remains its core challenge.
  • Stability in the South: Portugal and Ireland remain more immune to far-right advances, with centrist and traditional conservative dominance.


Here is a quick breakdown of what each colour-coded group represents in our chart:

🟤 FAR-LEFT (GUE/NGL)

  • European Affiliation: The European United Left–Nordic Green Left (GUE/NGL).
  • Ideology: Far-left, anti-capitalist, socialist or communist.
  • Example Parties: La France Insoumise (France), Die Linke (Germany), Bloco de Esquerda (Portugal).

🟢 GREEN (EFA)

  • European Affiliation: Greens/European Free Alliance (Greens/EFA).
  • Ideology: Green politics, environmentalism, social justice, and regionalism.
  • Example Parties: Die Grünen (Germany), Europe Ecologie Les Verts (France), PAN (Portugal), Green Party (UK).

🔴 LEFT (S&D)

  • European Affiliation: Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats (S&D).
  • Ideology: Centre-left, social democratic.
  • Example Parties: PSOE (Spain), Partito Democratico (Italy), SPD (Germany), PS (Portugal), Labour Party (UK).

🟡 CENTRE (RENEW)

  • European Affiliation: Renew Europe (centrist/liberal group).
  • Ideology: Liberalism, pro-European integration.
  • Example Parties: Ensemble (France), Modem (France), Ciudadanos (Spain), ALDE-affiliated parties, Liberal Democrats (UK).

🔵 CENTRE-RIGHT (EPP)

  • European Affiliation: European People’s Party (EPP).
  • Ideology: Centre-right, Christian democracy, conservatism.
  • Example Parties: CDU/CSU (Germany), Partido Popular (Spain), PSD (Portugal), Les Républicains (France), Conservative Party (UK).

⚫ FAR-RIGHT (ECR/ID/others)

  • European Affiliation: A combination of the European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR), Identity and Democracy (ID), and other hard-right or nationalist groups.
  • Ideology: Right-wing to far-right, often nationalist, anti-immigration, and Eurosceptic.
  • Example Parties: PiS (Poland), Rassemblement National (France), Lega (Italy), Reform UK (UK).


Sources:

▪ Cover: Unsplash/LXRCBSV. (Licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.)
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