The following chart displays the voting intention percentages for the upcoming elections in various European countries this year, alongside the political groups and ideologies represented by the parties or candidates, ranging from the far left to the far right of the political spectrum. The chart is updated regularly.

The chart categorises political parties or candidates standing in national or local elections across Europe according to their affiliations at the European Parliament or the closest equivalent group. (Click here to find a quick breakdown of what each colour-coded group represents.)

Analysis

🇬🇧 UNITED KINGDOM | 1 May Local Elections

• The latest polls reflect a notable surge in support for Reform UK, while the Conservatives have dropped, and Labour remains steady but faces increasing competition from Nigel Farage’s party. The Liberal Democrats and Green Party hold their positions.
• The rise of Reform UK indicates a growing appetite among voters for alternative right-wing options, potentially reshaping the UK’s political landscape ahead of the next general election.​

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🇷🇴 ROMANIA | 4 May Presidential Election

• A runoff between Simion and either Antonescu or Dan is likely. The race is shaping up as a referendum on far-right populism vs. centrist alternatives.

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🇦🇱 ALBANIA | 15 May Parliamentary Elections

• The Socialist Party of Albania (PS), led by Prime Minister Edi Rama, continues to hold a significant lead. The Democratic Party–Alliance for Change (PD–AN), under Sali Berisha, remains the primary opposition. Smaller parties like the Socialist Movement for Integration (LSI) and the Social Democratic Party of Albania (PSD) maintain modest support levels.

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🇵🇱 POLAND | 18 May Presidential Election

• While Rafal Trzaskowski (Centre-Left) holds a lead, the race remains competitive, with a significant portion of the electorate still undecided.

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🇵🇹 PORTUGAL | 18 May Parliamentary Elections

• The latest polls indicate a competitive race between the Socialist Party (Left) and the Social Democratic Party (Centre-Right), with the far-right Chega maintaining a significant presence. The Liberal Initiative (Centre) and left-wing parties like the Left Bloc (Far-Left) and Portuguese Communist Party continue to hold smaller yet notable shares of the electorate.

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🇫🇷 FRANCE | (Potential) July-2025 Parliamentary Election

• The latest poll shows the far-right Rassemblement National in the lead, while the left-wing alliance Nouveau Front Populaire holds second place. President Macron’s centrist Ensemble coalition trails in third. Traditional conservatives, represented by Les Républicains, continue to lose ground.
• The landscape reveals deep political polarisation, with the far-right strengthening, the left coalescing to remain competitive, and the centre struggling to retain influence. These dynamics set the stage for a highly contested election that could reshape France’s parliamentary balance and broader alignment within the European Union.

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🇳🇴 NORWAY | 8 September Parliamentary Elections

• The field is highly fragmented. Right-wing and populist parties (FrP and INP) dominate the polls. Environmental and far-left parties maintain modest yet consistent bases. Traditional centrist and left-wing parties face declining support, possibly due to fragmentation and voter shifts to newer political forces.

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🇨🇿 CZECHIA | October Parliamentary Elections

• The centre-right leads strongly, with liberal centrists also performing well. The far-left holds a surprising third place, while traditional social democrats and greens are largely absent. The overall picture shows a strong tilt towards the centre-right and liberal bloc.

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🇫🇷 FRANCE | 2027 Presidential Election

• Jordan Bardella (Far-Right) leads the race with a strong advantage, while Édouard Philippe (Centre) positions himself as the main centrist contender. Jean-Luc Mélenchon (Far-Left) remains the leading voice on the left. The Republicans (Centre-Right) struggle to gain traction, regardless of their chosen candidate. Left-wing forces are fragmented, diluting their impact, while the far-right shows unified strength. The centre-right’s stagnation and the left’s division create a clear path for Bardella to dominate the first round.

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🔍 Cross-European Snapshot:

• Surge of Far-Right: Countries like UK, Romania, and Poland are witnessing strong far-right momentum, often surpassing or rivalling traditional centre-right parties.
• Centrist Stability: The RENEW group remains a pillar of stability in countries like Portugal, Norway, and Czechia.
• Decline of Traditional Left: While Albania and Poland show some strength for the left, in Portugal and Romania it remains under 10%.
• Fragmented Political Landscapes: Except for Albania and Czechia, no country has a clear dominant party, suggesting coalitions and runoffs will be common.

Here is a quick breakdown of what each colour-coded group represents in our chart:

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🟤 FAR-LEFT (GUE/NGL)

• European Affiliation: The European United Left–Nordic Green Left (GUE/NGL).
• Ideology: Far-left, anti-capitalist, socialist or communist.
• Example Parties: La France Insoumise (France), Die Linke (Germany), Bloco de Esquerda (Portugal).

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🟢 GREEN (EFA)

• European Affiliation: Greens/European Free Alliance (Greens/EFA).
• Ideology: Green politics, environmentalism, social justice, and regionalism.
• Example Parties: Die Grünen (Germany), Europe Ecologie Les Verts (France), PAN (Portugal), Green Party (UK).

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🔴 LEFT (S&D)

• European Affiliation: Progressive Alliance of Socialists and Democrats (S&D).
• Ideology: Centre-left, social democratic.
• Example Parties: PSOE (Spain), Partito Democratico (Italy), SPD (Germany), PS (Portugal), Labour Party (UK).

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🟡 CENTRE (RENEW)

• European Affiliation: Renew Europe (centrist/liberal group).
• Ideology: Liberalism, pro-European integration.
• Example Parties: Ensemble (France), Modem (France), Ciudadanos (Spain), ALDE-affiliated parties, Liberal Democrats (UK).

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🔵 CENTRE-RIGHT (EPP)

• European Affiliation: European People’s Party (EPP).
• Ideology: Centre-right, Christian democracy, conservatism.
• Example Parties: CDU/CSU (Germany), Partido Popular (Spain), PSD (Portugal), Les Républicains (France), Conservative Party (UK).

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⚫ FAR-RIGHT (ECR/ID/others)

• European Affiliation: A combination of the European Conservatives and Reformists (ECR), Identity and Democracy (ID), and other hard-right or nationalist groups.
• Ideology: Right-wing to far-right, often nationalist, anti-immigration, and Eurosceptic.
• Example Parties: PiS (Poland), Rassemblement National (France), Lega (Italy), Reform UK (UK).

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Sources:

▪ Cover: Unsplash/LXRCBSV. (Licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.)

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