2024 General Election

Election 2024 polls were wide of the mark on Labour’s margin of victory – this is what may have happened

— The 2024 UK election campaign was heavily focused on polls, revealing a mix of accurate and inaccurate predictions. While Labour’s lead was often overestimated, varying accuracy among pollsters highlighted challenges in achieving representative samples.

Opinion Polls

UK General Election Voting Intention

— The state of voting intentions in the General Election. Labour’s vote intention remains significantly high a couple of days before the general election.

2024 General Election

Has Reform really overtaken the Tories in the polls? And does that mean it could beat them on July 4?

— A YouGov poll shows Reform UK leading the Conservatives for the first time, 19% to 18%. Despite this, both parties are essentially tied. Nigel Farage’s leadership has boosted Reform’s support, affecting Conservative vote shares and potentially aiding Labour and Liberal Democrats.

2024 General Election

Should Rishi Sunak even bother?

— With Labour leading in polls for over a year, Rishi Sunak faces a tough campaign to turn the tide. The PM’s campaign started poorly, suggesting the Conservatives might perform even worse than predicted in the General Election.

2024 US Presidential Election

US election: Why Latino and Hispanic voters are shifting to Trump after a long history of supporting the Democrats

— Recent polls show a shift towards Trump among Hispanic and Latino voters, crucial in swing states. Historically Democratic, their increased support for Trump, driven by economic and pandemic issues, could impact the tight 2024 race.

2024 General Election

Polls predict total wipeout for the Tories – and Britain’s constitution makes it a real possibility

— Recent polls suggest the Tories could face a historic loss in the next general election, with projections showing a potential loss of 250 MPs, leaving them under 100 seats, and both the Prime Minister and Chancellor losing their constituencies.

2024 General Election

YouGov MRP model predicts a Labour landslide: What does it mean for the upcoming election?

— YouGov’s latest MRP model predicts a landslide victory for Labour in the upcoming general election, with a projected 154-seat majority and significant declines for the Conservatives.

2024 US Presidential Election

US election: Haley’s supporters believe radically different things to Trump. So where do they go next?

— In Republican primaries, voter perceptions of Biden’s 2020 election legitimacy may impact the 2024 race. Polls show Trump supporters doubting legitimacy, highlighting challenges for American democracy and accountability.

UK Politics

YouGov survey signals trouble for Rishi Sunak and Conservatives

— A recent survey conducted by YouGov asked Brits to assess the current state of the UK in comparison to 2010. If Rishi Sunak and the Tories believe they have a chance to win a general election this year, the findings of this survey suggest they may be in for an unpleasant surprise.

UK Politics

Steady ship: Labour maintains lead as Conservatives lag behind

— A recent YouGov survey indicates consistent support for the Labour Party, significantly ahead of the Conservatives. Labour also leads in voter preferences for the position of Prime Minister, with Keir Starmer surpassing Rishi Sunak.

UK Politics

Political fallout: Poll highlights public distrust in Boris Johnson

— A new survey reveals a widespread public mistrust in Boris Johnson’s management of the COVID-19 pandemic during his premiership. The results indicate a considerable trust deficit that may have repercussions on the former PM’s political influence and potential future political endeavours.

UK Politics

From I’m a Celeb to Strictly: Public verdict on politicians in Reality TV

— The return of the debate on politicians in reality TV is highlighted by Nigel Farage’s participation in I’m a Celeb. A recent YouGov survey reflects mixed public opinions on the suitability of politicians in reality TV.

2024 US Presidential Election

Biden’s low approval ratings don’t mean he is bound to lose the 2024 US election – here’s why

— Some Democrats are concerned as recent polls suggest voters may choose Donald Trump over Joe Biden in key states for the 2024 presidential election. Despite Biden's low approval, electoral outcomes remain uncertain.

UK Politics

Suella Braverman: How much of a threat is sacked home secretary from the backbenches?

— Rishi Sunak’s removal of Home Secretary Suella Braverman, known for appealing to the cultural right, and the appointment of former PM David Cameron as foreign secretary reveals his struggle to balance diverse factions within the Conservative Party.

UK Politics

Rishi Sunak is wrong: We polled the British public and found it largely supports strong climate policies

— The UK Government is backtracking on climate legislation and directing funds towards the expansion of the oil and gas industry. Research, however, highlights widespread public support for robust climate measures, contradicting the government’s narrative.

OPINION

The failure of British Democracy

— Are Keir Starmer’s right-leaning policies neglecting pressing issues like homelessness and poverty? Why are both Labour and Conservative parties ignoring public support for nationalising key sectors and rejoining the European Single Market?