Analysis
— Politics professor Jon Tonge was pretty much spot on with his prediction for the result of the no-confidence vote against Boris Johnson. Here’s how he calculated the result and what might happen next.
Analysis
Our analyses thoroughly examine current events and complex issues, providing nuanced insights into politics, health, economics, and social trends. Supported by evidence-based perspectives from experts, these articles go beyond the headlines to explore underlying causes and impacts, fostering informed discussions on the forces shaping our world.
Analysis
— With 41% of his MPs voting against his leadership, how realistic are Boris Johnson’s hopes for survival?
Analysis
— The Conservative Party will hold a no-confidence vote on the leadership of Boris Johnson tonight. Here’s what you need to know.
COVID-19
— As children under five represent the only age group yet to have a COVID-19 vaccine approved for use, Pfizer and Moderna have both recently reported results for their COVID-19 vaccines in the youngest children.
Analysis
— The plan to cut 91,000 civil service jobs could make service delivery impossible after decades of decline – not a winning campaign strategy in a future general election.
Analysis
— Prisoners in the UK are not allowed to vote. Their fate is a useful starting point for any backbencher wondering if it’s time to write a letter of no confidence in PM Boris Johnson as his actions appear to have demonstrated a highly disrespectful attitude for the law.
Analysis
— Scandals and a misguided war on woke have cost Australia’s conservatives their voter base, opening the path for Labor. Could something similar happen in the UK where the Tories are still fighting the previous culture war opened by Brexit?
Analysis
— The report on lockdown parties at Number 10 relied heavily on WhatsApp transcripts to show wrongdoing. But WhatsApp should not be used to make detailed decisions in government, to begin with.
Analysis
— Boris Johnson’s real duty as a leader is and was to set an example and not to tolerate rule-breaking. He talks about leadership but arguably displays almost zero understanding of it or ability to offer it. His duty, as a leader, should be to resign.
Australia Elections
— The Morrison government has been resoundingly defeated, with Labor headed for office. All the facts and figures on the 2022 election.
Food Poverty
— Millions of people experiencing food poverty turn to food banks, and the number is growing. It is clear that food banks are accessed because people are in dire need due to the declining safety of the welfare system, not because of their lack of skills.
Brexit
— Professor Chris Grey’s Brexit analysis looking backwards and forwards from the Northern Ireland elections, and why Boris Johnson and the Brexiters can’t supply the realism needed.
COVID-19
— Even taking into account people who have had COVID but didn’t know it, there’s still likely to be a group of people who have never been infected.
Analysis
— Sweden and Finland’s plans to join Nato are a symbol of a major shake-up of the European security order.
Immigration
— How will asylum seekers relocated from the UK be accommodated in Rwanda, beyond temporary plans to convert a former hostel into a detention centre, and what will happen to those who are not granted asylum? Whatever. For the UK, the UK-Rwanda deal represents yet another business interest in Africa.
Analysis
— There is a strong correlation between local election results and general election results two years later. If that pattern holds, Johnson’s parliamentary majority is at risk. The Conservatives could lose up to 122 seats in the next general election.
